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Lunar Mission Scenarios

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"I found myself flying through the air...I had forgotten that on the moon, with only an eighth part of the earth's mass and a quarter of it's diameter, my weight was barely a sixth what it was on earth.  But now that fact insisted on being remembered.  "It seems to be deserted" said Cavor, "absolutely desolate."

-H.G.Wells, The First Men in the Moon, 1901

"Magnificent desolation."

-Buzz Aldrin, Apollo 11, 1969


Several mission scenarios have been proposed over the years for a return to the Moon.  We will look at a few in this chapter.  In the fall of 1990, NASA completed a project to study future Moon and Mars missions. The results of this study were presented to the National Space Council in the "Report of the 90-day Study on Human Exploration of the Moon and Mars." 

THE NASA 90-DAY STUDY

The goal of the 90-Day Study is to expand human presence into the solar system, resulting in human missions to Mars.  The space station and an established outpost on the lunar surface would provide opportunities for significant research. A lunar outpost would serve as a test-bed for validating critical mission systems, hardware, technologies, human capability, and operational techniques that can be applied to the Mars missions. 
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The exploration strategy in the 90-Day Study followed a three-phase approach: space station, moon, and Mars. Each step serves as a building-block to the next step in human exploration of the solar system. 

Space station is used as a zero-gravity research facility to answer some of the fundamental questions of missions to the moon and Mars, such as the psychological and physiological effects of long-term space travel. It supports fundamental research in assembling and servicing vehicles in space, and serves as a platform to perform unique technology demonstrations. All of the knowledge gained at the space station will support missions to the moon and a permanent lunar base.  Similarly, the moon will serve as a test-bed for future missions to Mars. Complete end-to-end simulations of the Mars missions (station to lunar outpost to station) can be conducted on the Moon.
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The first step is the Robotic Phase, during which important information data about the lunar surface is gathered. This information supports the design and development of the surface systems, and transportation systems, and pre-planning activities prior to the actual human missions.

The information gained from the robotic missions aids in site selection for the lunar outpost. Several factors, including the scientific interest of the site, potential resources that may be available, and operations are considered. Robotic missions provide an opportunity to demonstrate key technologies, such as aerobraking, landing accuracy, hazard avoidance, and autonomous rendezvous and docking. Demonstrations of these technologies can reduce total program cost.

The next step is the Emplacement phase. The objective of this phase is to establish a permanent presence on the Moon and begin developing ways to live and work there. Simple equipment and instruments would lay the foundation for later more complex surface operations. The space station supports the initial test of the lunar transportation system including vehicle integration, checkout, launch support, and inspection after flight. 

 

The Consolidation Phase expands the permanent presence on the Moon and increases our knowledge about how to live and work on other worlds. During this phase, the outpost capabilities are expanded. A habitation module is erected for habitation and scientific research.

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The habitat provides the ability to test long-duration exposure to low gravity in preparation for missions to Mars. Reducing dependence on Earth takes on great importance in reaching the capability for Mars exploration, and developing confidence in operational techniques and equipment. This is accomplished by relying on more efficient systems, such as life support and outpost operations, and by testing prototypes of lunar resource production plants. Experience is gained in day-to-day activities in the absence of continual Earth guidance, thereby reducing operational ties to Earth.
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Lunar Oxygen Production Plant

 

The final Operation Phase is focused on developing further independence from Earth. Local resources, such as lunar oxygen production at the outpost are used to fuel the lunar excursion vehicles. 

The space station facilities are expanded to support the assembly and processing of the first Mars vehicles. Further expansion of the lunar outpost infrastructure would be scaled back at this time in order to open operational, logistic, and funding to accomplish missions to Mars. 
 

Human Lunar Return Study

  • In 1995, NASA began the Human Lunar Return (HLR) study.  HLR had three major goals,  to test technologies for developing lunar resources, to consider the commercial development of the moon and to test future Mars mission technologies.
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The first HLR mission was going to land at Aristarchus crater. This crater was shaped by volcanic activity in the moon's distant past and is of interest to scientists.  The International Space station would be the staging platform for the lunar vehicle.  The space shuttle would deliver some components for a two-person crew. A Russian Proton rocket would launch a habitat into Earth orbit. The habitat uses an inflatable design and is connected to a lander that houses science experiements. The mission would last 18 days.
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Aristarchus crater landing site
The astronauts would work for several days on the surface of the moon.  Science experiments could include a telerobotically controlled rover and a small lunar oxygen plant.  Later mission scenarios considered a robotic mission to look for ice at the south pole, a larger lunar oxygen plant, and a large crew rover vehicle similar to the one used during the Apollo missions. 
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Future missions would last up to 32 days and could include pressurized rovers for long range expeditions.  A full scale lunar oxygen plant could produce up to 20 tons of oxygen each year!  Total cost of the first Human Lunar Return mission was $2.5 billion dollars. 

Where to Land? 

Dr. Spudis, a planetary scientist at the Lunar and Planetary Institute and a scientist with the Defense Department's Clementine lunar polar orbiter recommends the south pole of the moon as a good candidate for a lunar outpost for a variety of reasons.

The possibility of water ice deposited by comets in the moon's distant past was suggested from findings aboard the Clementine and Lunar Prospector missions. There could be as much water ice as one billion metric tons located deep in the craters that do not receive any sunlight due to their location at the pole in a deep crater. 

Spudis speculates that other ices such as ammonia and methane could be mixed in with the water ice.  These are commonly found in comets.  The lunar south pole is inside the largest crater in the solar system.  The South Pole-Aitken Basin is 2600 kilometers across and 12 kilometers deep.

Much of the bottom is permanently shadowed and temperatures are as low as -230 degrees Celsius.  This could prove to be a problem for robotic equipment. 

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The moon has a two-week day followed by a two-week night.  Fortunately however at the south pole there are some areas that receive sunlight almost 90 percent of the time.  These would be good locations for solar power arrays to power a lunar outpost.

Finally, the temperatures at the south pole do not change very much over time.  Without large increases in temperatures, engineering designs will not have to take into account thermal fluxes.  For more on the South Pole-Aiken Basin, check out the newest slide show from the LPI.

Alternative Lunar Mission Strategies

NASA Exploration engineer Bret Drake recommends exploring both the Moon and Mars before committing to any permanent outpost. This approach relies on using local resources to reduce the re-supply requirement from Earth.  He suggests many alternatives ranging from expeditions (similar to Apollo), to development of research outposts, to colonization of the Moon and Mars.  Each alternative would provide differing levels of scientific, educational, motivational, and technological returns. 

These alternate approaches are currently being studied by NASA's Exploration Office at the Johnson Space Center. Exploration Emphasis highlights continued exploration of the Moon and Mars prior to building an outpost, and Expanding Human Presence looks at expanding human presence into the solar system.

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Exploration Emphasis

The goal of the Exploration Emphasis is to gather knowledge of the Moon and Mars by developing an understanding of these worlds before committing to a permanent human outpost.  Although  human and robotic missions have been sent to the Moon and robotic vehicles have landed on the surface of Mars, both planets still remain largely unexplored from a scientific point of view.

In addition, the Apollo missions have shown that there is a great diversity of lunar terrains, and our knowledge of the Moon will remain scarce until investigations are made on a global scale.  According to Drake, exploration of the Moon and Mars should be phased together to increase the scientific return and to reduce program cost. 

The exploration strategy for both the Moon and Mars relies on human and robotic missions. Telerobotic explorers explore potential sites with human counterparts. the robotic explorers extend the access of humans by venturing into very remote regions and performing geologic investigations, experiments, and bringing samples back to study. 

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Small unmanned robotic landers can deploy rovers, sample return stages, in-situ resource utilization units, and science experiments. These robotic missions can survey potential exploration sites in advance of the human missions.  

Visit the Lunar Rover Initiative at Carnegie Mellon University - an ongoing project to create robots that can explore unknown territory and do science experiments at interesting locations.

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Geologic field work provides the opportunity for people to investigate the lunar surface, so that we can understand  planetary processes, geologic formations, and planetary history. Geologic field work is a complex process, and will require some human interaction. 

lunarr.gifSome field work can be done by teleoperated robotic geologists under the control of trained geologists at the landing site (or possibly on Earth.) These robotic field geologists, or Teleprospectors, are robotic vehicles which imitate many functions of their human counterparts including stereoscopic vision and manipulation of arms. Teleprospectors provide humans access to regions of the lunar surface without risking human lives.

Human missions to the lunar surface are similar to the Apollo missions, but are longer in duration in this design. Extended surface stays, from two to six weeks long would provide time for the crews to perform geologic field work, deploy scientific experiments, and perform technology demonstrations (such as utilizing the local resources to manufacture usable products). 

Pre-deployed scientific packages, which may be in remote areas, can be routinely maintained, adjusted, serviced, and re-supplied by humans in conjunction with robots over a longer mission. 

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This particular strategy has specific requirements for the transportation systems. The location for the vehicles in orbit can impose significant constraints on the missions depending on their location. 

For instance, staging the missions from an equatorial orbit limits the landing sites to a narrow band about the equator. On the other hand, staging from polar lunar orbits opens up access to any point on the lunar surface  (though launch opportunities are less frequent).   (Libration or LaGrange points are fixed locations in the Earth-Moon system where the gravitational attraction of the Moon equals the gravitational attraction of the Earth.)  Staging from a location, such as a lunar libration point, can remove some of these constraints, by providing routine access to the entire lunar surface.

Expanding Human Presence

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The goal of the Expanding Human Presence mission approach is to expand human presence into the solar system, leading to future human settlements. One of the most important objectives of our national space policy is this long-term goal of expanding human activity beyond Earth orbit.   

A key objective of the expanding human presence strategy is to reduce the support required from Earth by developing the capability for self-sufficiency. Emphasis is on research with application of this research into practical use. Developing independence from Earth will encourage expansion of any outpost and its capabilities. Initial scientific research is focused on developing self-sufficiency, with follow-on science experiments occurring only once the outpost is in a stable mode.

The initial lunar outpost supports research in self-sufficiency techniques and efficient outpost operation. Becoming independent from Earth takes time and the learning curve for the lunar pioneers will include such questions as:

  • How will the human body perform away from Earth for long periods?  
  • How will plants thrive in a space environment?  
  • How will equipment function on the planetary surfaces?  
  • What local resources exist and what can be produced with them? 
As these answers are gathered, the outpost will rely on less support from Earth. 
A crew and equipment module
A crew and equipment module; a lunar transport vehicle (LTV) for landing and takeoff, and
two experiment/exploration payloads.

 

 

This approach begins with a Robotic Exploration Phase. During this phase robotic spacecraft identifies an outpost site. The location of the site is critical to the future success of the outpost.  It must be easily accessible and capable of supporting numerous surface activities. 

Resources contained in the lunar regolith (soil) located near the outpost are critical for an in-situ resource utilization program. This is the most important requirement in order to develop the outpost's self-sufficiency by utilizing the local resources.  

Data from orbiting spacecraft and samples returned by robotic spacecraft will allow scientists to characterize the surface features and composition.  A determination of the best areas of lunar regolith to use for production plants can be made.  

Check out the NASA Telerobotics plan!

The Emplacement Phase, allows humans to build a permanent outpost and continue learning how to "live off the land". The initial lunar outpost is a small research facility. 

Finally, check-out of the ISRU plant is conducted on the lunar surface. ISRU processes include production of ceramics for construction, oxygen for use in rovers and life support system, soils for growing plants, and gases for life support. During the Emplacement Phase, science experiments are limited and the focus is on developing outpost self-sufficiency. Research is done in closed biosphere environments and life science research is conducted related to long-duration missions to Mars. 

 

The outpost is expanded during the next phase, the Expansion Phase.  Pressurized facilities including habitation areas, laboratories, and maintenance rooms are built. Oxygen extracted from the lunar surface is used in the life support system and as propellants for transportation vehicles.

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As the outpost gains more experience, control will shift from the Earth ('Mission control') to the moon itself.  During the Operation Phase the emphasis is towards more complete self-sufficiency.  Scientific research in disciplines other than life sciences, such as astrophysics and planetary geology begin. The growth of the facilities will provide the confidence and technological experience to initiate this process on far distant Mars. This plan describes a small community heavily dependent on the Earth evolving into a nearly self-supporting, thriving community. 
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The technologies developed for a lunar outpost can be returned for use on Earth. Information gained from experiments in small ecosystems (biospheres) will improve our knowledge about the Earth's environment. Products and specialized goods can be exported from these settlements to Earth.

Commercial Ventures

Shimizu Corporation, a Japan-based company, in 1994 conceived of a Japanese lunar base. Costing 3 trillion yen, it could be built by 2025. Shimuzu surmised that the lunar base could be funded if it was presented to the people of Japan in various competitions.  
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These competitions included moving soil, separating elements out of lunar soil, making and stacking lunar bricks, rover races and astronaut Olympics.  These competitions would help develop technologies needed for lunar exploration. 
LunaCorp is developing a series of lunar adventures based on intelligent robots. Unlike previous robots that only sent narrow-band science data back to Earth, these robots will deliver live video and wide-open interactivity to the public.
The excitement of real-time lunar exploration will be features of participating Web sites, television networks and large science centers that offer hands-on access via remote control. 

 

LunaCorp and the Robotics Institute of Carnegie Mellon University are developing a rover that will confirm that ice exists at the lunar poles, and begin quantifying how many billions of cubic meters may be available.

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Questions to think about:

  • Which of the above scenarios appeals to you?  Why? 
  • What other ways could we excite people about going to the moon? 
  • What sports would be the most exciting on the moon?
In the next lesson, you will take a closer look at the types of operations that would take place on a lunar base and what types of equipment and facilities would be needed to accomplish them. 

Next... Mining and Manufacturing on the Moon


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